- ADP National Employment Report Preliminary Estimate for April 25, 2026
May 12, 2026
ROSELAND, N.J., May 12, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- For the four weeks ending April 25, 2026, U.S. private employers added an average of 33,000 jobs per week, according to the NER Pulse, a weekly update of the monthly ADP National Employment Report (NER).
Job growth remains stable. These numbers are preliminary and could change as new data is added.
Week ending Change
(Four-week moving
average, seasonally
adjusted) 4/25/2026 33,000 4/18/2026 30,250 4/11/2026 39,250 4/4/2026 40,250 3/28/2026 40,250 3/21/2026 26,000 3/14/2026 15,250 3/7/2026 10,000 2/28/2026 9,000 2/21/2026 14,750 2/14/2026 15,500 2/7/2026 12,000
The NER Pulse is an estimate of the week-over-week change in employment based on a four-week moving average. These estimates are based on ADP's finely tuned, high-frequency data. The data is seasonally adjusted and have a two-week lag to allow for more complete and accurate estimates of real-time employment trends.
The NER Pulse, including 12 weeks of historical data, publishes every Tuesday at 8:15 a.m. ET, except weeks when ADP Research publishes the monthly National Employment Report which is built on a reference week that includes the 12th day of the month. The press release is available Tuesdays at 8:15 a.m. ET in the ADP Media Center. The NER Pulse is also available shortly after 8:15 a.m. ET on release days at ADP Research and in Main Street Macro.
The next NER Pulse will be released May 19, 2026. For upcoming release dates please refer to the calendar on the NER website.
The ADP National Employment Report and the NER Pulse are produced by ADP Research in collaboration with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab.
About ADP Research
The mission of ADP Research is to make the future of work more productive through data-driven discovery. Companies, workers, and policy makers rely on our finely tuned data and unique perspective to make informed decisions that impact workplaces around the world.
To subscribe to monthly email alerts or obtain additional information about ADP Research, including employment and pay data, methodology, and a calendar of release dates, please visit https://www.adpresearch.com.
About ADP (NASDAQ: ADP)
ADP has been shaping the world of work with innovation and expertise for more than 75 years. As a global leader in HR and payroll solutions, ADP continuously works to solve business challenges for our clients and their workers, from simple, easy-to-use tools for small businesses to fully integrated platforms for global enterprises – and everything in between. Always Designing for People means we're focused on just that – people. We use our unmatched AI-driven insights and proven expertise to design innovative solutions that help people achieve greater success at work. More than 1.1 million clients across 140+ countries rely on ADP's exceptional service to support their people and drive their business forward. HR, Talent, Time Management, Benefits, Compliance, and Payroll. Learn more at ADP.com.
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ADP, the ADP logo, and Always Designing for People, ADP National Employment Report, and ADP Research are registered trademarks of ADP, Inc. All other marks are the property of their respective owners.
Copyright © 2026 ADP, Inc. All rights reserved.(PRNewsfoto/ADP, LLC)ADP Research (PRNewsfoto/ADP, Inc.)Cision
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- Nonfarm Payrolls Increased More Than Expected
May 8, 2026
Much as we saw in Wednesday’s private-sector payrolls from ADP (ADP), this morning’s Employment Situation report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) was better than expected: +115K new jobs were filled in April, more than double the +55K consensus estimate. The Unemployment Rate remained steady at +4.3%.
This makes three of the past four months with positive jobs growth. Not only that, but all three of those months — +160K in January, and upwardly revised +185K for March and now +115K — were up by triple digits. (February was revised -23K lower, to -156K — the deepest month of negative jobs growth since the Covid pandemic.) Four of the previous eight months showed negative jobs growth on BLS; for ADP it was four straight months in early 2025. We’re clearly off the lows in the U.S. labor market.
Also as we saw in ADP’s report, Healthcare led the way in jobs growth by industry: +37K. This is followed by Transportation/Warehousing jobs at +30K and Retail Trade, +22K. Information jobs shed -13K (negative for the 16th straight week: is this AI related, or is it too early to tell?), the Federal government -9K and Manufacturing -2K. In general, it’s lower-paying jobs leading the way currently; we see this change when Professional/Business Services and Financials are among the sector leaders.
Wage growth tamed somewhat last month: +0.2% from the expected +0.3% and in-line with the prior month. Year over year, +3.6% missed estimates by 20 basis points (bps), but was up 10 bps month over month. The Average Workweek ticked up slightly to 34.3 hours, but Labor Force Participation languished down near 50-year lows to 61.8%. U-6 (aka “real unemployment”) ratcheted up +20 bps to +8.2%, and half a point higher than the +7.7% we saw last July.
In all, we’re seeing what outgoing Fed Chair Jerome Powell has been seeing: the domestic labor market has been holding its own. Perhaps we could stand a little higher quality within that jobs growth, but compared to where we had been — and where many feared we were headed — the market has to feel placated overall.
Pre-market futures, which had already been in the green ahead of this report, boosted further on the news. We shortly thereafter retreated from early highs, but the Dow is +119 points at this hour, the S&P 500 +32 points, the Nasdaq +210 and the small-cap Russell +13 points.
Earnings Results at a Glance
By sheer volume of the number of companies reporting, this is the busiest week of Q1 earnings season (so far — next week will bring over a thousand quarterly posts, as well). We’ve exhausted most of the marquee names, with NVIDIA (NVDA) the final “Mag 7” company to report in a couple weeks, but we have plenty of stories being told ahead of today’s opening bell:
Story Continues
Wendy’s (WEN) beat bottom-line estimates by +20% to +$0.12 per share (though still well below the +$0.20 per share reported in the year-ago quarter). This was good enough to se the stock gain nearly +4% at this hour, still digging out from its -16.5% hole, year to date.
Brookfield Asset Management (BAM) outpaced estimates by a solid penny to +$0.43 per share this morning, and pre-market shares swung to a positive +1% as a result. The alt-energy infrastructure investment company is still down more than -5% year to date.
Construction Partners (ROAD) swung to a big positive earnings surprise this morning: +$0.18 per share from an expected negative print of -$0.05, for an impressive +460% earnings surprise. The infrastructure company also raised guidance, and shares are up +6.5% so far this morning.
Madison Square Garden (MSGS), however, despite the New York Knicks’ success in the NBA so far this year, posted a big miss: -$0.78 per share versus a positive +$0.66 anticipated. Shares are flat on the news, but the -218% negative surprise is something to be improved upon. The stock is +28.5% year to date.
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- BLS Jobs: +115K, Double Expectations
May 8, 2026
Friday, May 8th, 2026
Much as we saw in Wednesday’s private-sector payrolls from ADP (ADP), this morning’s Employment Situation report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) was better than expected: +115K new jobs were filled in April, more than double the +55K consensus estimate. The Unemployment Rate remained steady at +4.3%.
This makes three of the past four months with positive jobs growth. Not only that, but all three of those months — +160K in January, and upwardly revised +185K for March and now +115K — were up by triple digits. (February was revised -23K lower, to -156K — the deepest month of negative jobs growth since the Covid pandemic.) Four of the previous eight months showed negative jobs growth on BLS; for ADP it was four straight months in early 2025. We’re clearly off the lows in the U.S. labor market.
Also as we saw in ADP’s report, Healthcare led the way in jobs growth by industry: +37K. This is followed by Transportation/Warehousing jobs at +30K and Retail Trade, +22K. Information jobs shed -13K (negative for the 16th straight week: is this AI related, or is it too early to tell?), the Federal government -9K and Manufacturing -2K. In general, it’s lower-paying jobs leading the way currently; we see this change when Professional/Business Services and Financials are among the sector leaders.
Wage growth tamed somewhat last month: +0.2% from the expected +0.3% and in-line with the prior month. Year over year, +3.6% missed estimates by 20 basis points (bps), but was up 10 bps month over month. The Average Workweek ticked up slightly to 34.3 hours, but Labor Force Participation languished down near 50-year lows to 61.8%. U-6 (aka “real unemployment”) ratcheted up +20 bps to +8.2%, and half a point higher than the +7.7% we saw last July.
In all, we’re seeing what outgoing Fed Chair Jerome Powell has been seeing: the domestic labor market has been holding its own. Perhaps we could stand a little higher quality within that jobs growth, but compared to where we had been — and where many feared we were headed — the market has to feel placated overall.
Pre-market futures, which had already been in the green ahead of this report, boosted further on the news. We shortly thereafter retreated from early highs, but the Dow is +119 points at this hour, the S&P 500 +32 points, the Nasdaq +210 and the small-cap Russell +13 points.
Earnings Results at a Glance
By sheer volume of the number of companies reporting, this is the busiest week of Q1 earnings season (so far — next week will bring over a thousand quarterly posts, as well). We’ve exhausted most of the marquee names, with NVIDIA NVDA the final “Mag 7” company to report in a couple weeks, but we have plenty of stories being told ahead of today’s opening bell:
Wendy’s WEN beat bottom-line estimates by +20% to +$0.12 per share (though still well below the +$0.20 per share reported in the year-ago quarter). This was good enough to se the stock gain nearly +4% at this hour, still digging out from its -16.5% hole, year to date. For more on WEN’s earnings, click here.
Brookfield Asset Management BAM outpaced estimates by a solid penny to +$0.43 per share this morning, and pre-market shares swung to a positive +1% as a result. The alt-energy infrastructure investment company is still down more than -5% year to date.
Construction Partners ROAD swung to a big positive earnings surprise this morning: +$0.18 per share from an expected negative print of -$0.05, for an impressive +460% earnings surprise. The infrastructure company also raised guidance, and shares are up +6.5% so far this morning.
Madison Square Garden MSGS, however, despite the New York Knicks’ success in the NBA so far this year, posted a big miss: -$0.78 per share versus a positive +$0.66 anticipated. Shares are flat on the news, but the -218% negative surprise is something to be improved upon. The stock is +28.5% year to date.
Questions or comments about this article and/or author? Click here>>
Story Continues
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- Has ADP (ADP) Become More Appealing After A 28.5% Share Price Slide?
May 8, 2026
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Investors may be wondering whether Automatic Data Processing, at around US$214 per share, is starting to look interesting or if the stock still needs a bigger reset before the value case stacks up. The share price has moved 1.0% over the last week and 5.1% over the last month, while year to date it is down 15.3%. Over the last 12 months it has recorded a 28.5% decline, which can change how the risk and return trade off feels. Recent news coverage has focused on Automatic Data Processing's role as a large payroll and HR services provider and how investors are reassessing these types of business models as market conditions evolve. Commentary has also highlighted that after periods of weaker share price returns, some investors start to re-examine what they are willing to pay for established companies like this. Automatic Data Processing currently scores 3 out of 6 on Simply Wall St's valuation checks. The rest of this article will break down what that means through different valuation approaches, before finishing with a framework that can help you judge whether those methods really capture the full picture.
Find out why Automatic Data Processing's -28.5% return over the last year is lagging behind its peers.
Approach 1: Automatic Data Processing Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model estimates what a stock could be worth by projecting the cash the company may generate in the future and discounting those cash flows back to today using a required rate of return.
For Automatic Data Processing, the model used is a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach. The latest twelve month free cash flow is about $4.84b. Simply Wall St then uses analyst estimates where available and extends them with its own assumptions, producing ten year projections that reach around $10.32b of free cash flow by 2030, with later years gradually increasing based on an estimated growth rate.
Those projected cash flows are discounted back to today and summed to arrive at an estimated intrinsic value of about $566.87 per share. Compared with the current share price of roughly $214, the DCF output implies the stock is about 62.2% below this intrinsic value. On this model alone, Automatic Data Processing appears materially undervalued according to this approach.
Result: UNDERVALUED
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Automatic Data Processing is undervalued by 62.2%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 51 more high quality undervalued stocks.
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ADP Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2026
Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Automatic Data Processing.
Approach 2: Automatic Data Processing Price vs Earnings
For profitable companies, the P/E ratio is often a useful way to think about value because it links what you pay directly to the earnings the business is generating today.
What counts as a "normal" or "fair" P/E will usually depend on how fast earnings are expected to grow and how predictable those earnings look. Higher growth and lower perceived risk can justify a higher P/E, while slower growth or more uncertainty often lines up with a lower P/E.
Automatic Data Processing is currently trading on a P/E of 19.7x. That sits slightly above the Professional Services industry average of 18.9x and close to the peer group average of 18.8x. On these simple comparisons, the stock is priced in a fairly similar range to its sector.
Simply Wall St also calculates a Fair Ratio of 26.9x for Automatic Data Processing. This proprietary metric estimates the P/E that might be reasonable given factors such as earnings growth, profit margins, industry, market cap and risk profile. Because it blends these company specific inputs, it can offer a more tailored reference point than just comparing the stock with peers or the broader industry.
With a current P/E of 19.7x compared with a Fair Ratio of 26.9x, the stock screens as undervalued on this measure.
Result: UNDERVALUEDNasdaqGS:ADP P/E Ratio as at May 2026
P/E ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Start investing in legacies, not executives. Discover our 19 top founder-led companies.
Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Automatic Data Processing Narrative
Earlier it was mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation. Narratives come in as a simple way for you to attach a clear story about Automatic Data Processing to your own numbers, linking what you believe about its future revenue, earnings and margins to a forecast, a fair value, and a decision around whether that fair value looks attractive compared with the current price.
On Simply Wall St’s Community page, Narratives are available as an easy tool used by millions of investors. They let you set assumptions and instantly see how your fair value estimate moves relative to the live share price, which can help you judge if the gap between the two looks wide enough to consider buying, trimming or simply watching.
Narratives are not static either. They update automatically when fresh information comes through, such as new earnings, analyst revisions or news, so your fair value view stays aligned with what is currently known about the company.
For Automatic Data Processing, one investor might build a Narrative around a higher fair value of about US$387.77 per share with stronger margin resilience. Another might lean toward a lower Narrative closer to US$214.00 or a consensus style view around US$256.47, and seeing these different stories side by side can help you decide which one feels closest to how you see the business today.
For Automatic Data Processing, we will make it really easy for you with previews of two leading Automatic Data Processing Narratives:
🐂 Automatic Data Processing Bull Case
Fair value: US$256.47
Gap vs last close: about 16.5% below this narrative fair value
Revenue growth assumption: 5.23% a year
Sees AI driven HR tools, higher value cloud products and acquisitions supporting margins and higher revenue per client over time. Builds in steady international expansion and broader partnerships as support for recurring revenue and a wider client base. Flags competition, slower bookings and higher costs as key risks that could limit how much of the earnings potential is reached.
🐻 Automatic Data Processing Bear Case
Fair value: US$214.00
Gap vs last close: trading roughly in line with this narrative fair value
Revenue growth assumption: 4.91% a year
Assumes slower large client rollouts, lower margin international growth and ongoing AI and platform investment keep a lid on margin expansion. Highlights that PEO and international segments could face pressure from softer volume trends and higher expenses. Uses a lower future P/E and slightly softer margin profile to arrive at a cautious fair value that sits at the bearish end of analyst targets.
If you want to see how your own expectations around growth, margins and multiples compare with these two bookend cases, it can help to review the full range of community views and then stress test your assumptions against the numbers. See what the community is saying about Automatic Data Processing
Do you think there's more to the story for Automatic Data Processing? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!NasdaqGS:ADP 1-Year Stock Price Chart
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include ADP.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
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- Jobs report coming Friday as layoff announcements mount, but hiring appears to be on the upswing
May 7, 2026
April’s jobs report is on deck for Friday morning as market watchers look for signs that the labor market is stabilizing.
Economists surveyed by Bloomberg estimate a median gain of 65,000 jobs and expect the unemployment rate to remain flat at 4.3%, following March’s blockbuster increase of 178,000 roles. There was already one glimmer of strength this week in private payroll growth, according to data from ADP: Private employers added 109,000 jobs in April, the fastest monthly gain since January 2025. And looking backward, March’s hiring rate improved to its highest level in nearly two years, government data released Tuesday showed. Sign up for the Mind Your Money weekly newsletter By subscribing, you are agreeing to Yahoo's Terms and Privacy Policy
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While overall monthly payroll growth this year is lower than what was notched in much of 2023 and 2024, there’s a reason why economists aren’t freaked out — and why even a smaller-than-once-typical gain might appear strong.
As the population ages and immigration plummets, the amount of job growth needed to sustain a level unemployment rate is also sliding — a point Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell made earlier this year.
He noted in March that while there had been “zero net job creation in the private sector,” that may be “about what the economy needs in terms of dealing with very, very low — nonexistent, really — growth in the labor force, which, of course, we’ve never had in our history.”
Emma Ockerman is a reporter covering the economy and labor for Yahoo Finance. You can reach her at emma.ockerman@yahooinc.com.
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- ADP Jobs Surge And New Debt Issue Reframe Long Term Investment Story
May 7, 2026
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Automatic Data Processing released its April US National Employment Report, showing the fastest private sector job growth in over a year. The report highlights strong momentum in the services sector and provides updated data on wage trends across the private workforce. Investors and policymakers are watching the April figures closely because they can influence expectations ahead of official government labor data.
For investors tracking NasdaqGS:ADP, the latest employment report underscores the company’s role as a key barometer of US labor conditions. The stock trades at $207.2, with a 3.2% return over 3 years and 21.7% over 5 years, while the 1 year return stands at a 30.4% decline and year to date performance is a 18.1% decline. This mix of longer term gains and recent weakness may shape how you weigh ADP related labor data alongside broader portfolio decisions.
The sharp pickup in private sector job creation and fresh wage insights could influence expectations around consumer spending, interest rates, and sector level earnings sensitivity. As more investors absorb the April report, the data is likely to be used as another input when assessing exposure to rate sensitive areas, employment heavy industries, and companies tied closely to payroll trends such as NasdaqGS:ADP.
Stay updated on the most important news stories for Automatic Data Processing by adding it to your watchlist or portfolio. Alternatively, explore our Community to discover new perspectives on Automatic Data Processing.NasdaqGS:ADP 1-Year Stock Price Chart
Is Automatic Data Processing's balance sheet strong enough for future acquisitions? Dive into our detailed financial health analysis.
ADP’s latest employment report lands alongside a fresh US$1.0b fixed rate debt raise, giving you a clear pairing of operating data and financing activity to assess. The company has issued 5% senior unsecured notes due 2036 at a small discount to par, which lifts gross debt but also locks in funding for roughly ten years at a known cost of capital. Management has flagged that proceeds are earmarked for general corporate purposes, including share repurchases, so part of this new liability may effectively replace equity over time. With recent quarterly revenue of US$3,633.1m and net income of US$1,359.8m, ADP is adding long dated fixed obligations to a business that currently reports solid profitability. For you as an investor, the key questions are how this affects interest coverage, leverage metrics and flexibility if labor trends in the ADP report later soften.
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How This Fits Into The Automatic Data Processing Narrative
The debt raise can support ongoing investment in cloud based HCM and AI powered HR tools that feature heavily in the growth narrative, especially if proceeds free up internal cash that would otherwise fund these projects. Using part of the proceeds for share repurchases rather than purely for growth or balance sheet strengthening could limit how much additional financial buffer ADP builds against competitive pressure from Paychex, Workday or Ceridian. The narrative focuses on product driven and geographic expansion, while this US$1.0b, 5% note issue adds a specific long term interest burden that may not be fully captured if you only look at operating catalysts.
Knowing what a company is worth starts with understanding its story. Check out one of the top narratives in the Simply Wall St Community for Automatic Data Processing to help decide what it is worth to you.
The Risks and Rewards Investors Should Consider
⚠️ Higher fixed interest costs from the 5% notes could pressure future earnings if revenue growth slows or wage and employment trends in ADP’s own report soften over time. ⚠️ Directing part of the US$1.0b proceeds to buybacks increases financial leverage and could reduce balance sheet flexibility if competition from other payroll and HCM providers intensifies. 🎁 The 2036 maturity gives ADP long term funding visibility, which can support consistent investment in HR technology, AI automation and international expansion without relying solely on short term cash flows. 🎁 Combining solid reported earnings with bond market access at a fixed 5% coupon can give ADP room to adjust its capital structure, potentially supporting per share metrics if repurchases reduce the share count.
What To Watch Going Forward
From here, keep an eye on how ADP’s leverage and interest coverage ratios evolve as the new 5% notes settle onto the balance sheet, and whether management continues to prioritize buybacks over debt reduction. It is also worth tracking future ADP employment reports for signs that hiring or wage trends are diverging from current levels, as that could affect the resilience of payroll and HR volumes that ultimately service this higher debt load.
To ensure you are always in the loop on how the latest news impacts the investment narrative for Automatic Data Processing, head to the community page for Automatic Data Processing to stay updated on the top community narratives.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include ADP.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
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- ADP to Present at Upcoming Investor Conferences
May 7, 2026
ROSELAND, N.J., May 7, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- ADP (Nasdaq: ADP), a global leader in HR and payroll solutions, today announced that members of its management team will present at the following conferences:
The J.P. Morgan 2026 Global Technology, Media and Communications Conference on Tuesday, May 19, 2026. The TD Cowen 54th Annual Technology Media & Telecom Conference on Thursday, May 28, 2026.
Information regarding webcast and archived replay of the events will be available on ADP's website at investors.adp.com.
About ADP (Nasdaq: ADP)
ADP has been shaping the world of work with innovation and expertise for more than 75 years. As a global leader in HR and payroll solutions, ADP continuously works to solve business challenges for our clients and their workers, from simple, easy-to-use tools for small businesses to fully integrated platforms for global enterprises – and everything in between. Always Designing for People means we're focused on just that – people. We use our unmatched AI-driven insights and proven expertise to design innovative solutions that help people achieve greater success at work. More than 1.1 million clients across 140+ countries rely on ADP's exceptional service to support their people and drive their business forward. HR, Talent, Time Management, Benefits, Compliance, and Payroll. Learn more at ADP.com
ADP, the ADP logo, and Always Designing for People are trademarks of ADP, Inc.
Copyright © 2026 ADP, Inc. All rights reserved.
ADP - Investor Relations
Investor Relations Contacts: Matthew Keating, CFA 973.974.3037 Matthew.Keating@adp.com
Rebecca Koar 203.882.7313 Rebecca.Koar@adp.com
ADP - Media
Media Contact: Allyce Hackmann 201.400.4583 Allyce.Hackmann@adp.com(PRNewsfoto/ADP)Cision
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- Sector Update: Financial Stocks Higher Late Afternoon
May 6, 2026
Financial stocks were advancing in late Wednesday afternoon trading, with the NYSE Financial Index r
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- Sector Update: Financial Stocks Higher Wednesday Afternoon
May 6, 2026
Financial stocks were advancing in Wednesday afternoon trading, with the NYSE Financial Index rising
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- April Private Sector Hiring Logs Fastest Growth Pace Since January 2025, ADP Says
May 6, 2026
Employment in the US private sector grew at its fastest pace in more than a year in April, ADP (ADP)
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