- Is It Time To Reconsider Mondelez (MDLZ) After Mixed Returns And Rich Valuation Metrics
May 10, 2026
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Wondering whether Mondelez International is attractively priced today, or if the stock is already baking in its strengths? This article focuses on what the current price really implies. The stock last closed at US$61.55, with returns of 0.3% over 7 days and 4.3% over 30 days. The year to date gain of 14.7% contrasts with a 4.2% decline over the past year and a 14.1% decline over three years. Recent headlines have continued to track Mondelez International as a global snacks group, covering topics such as brand positioning, product mix and corporate actions across its portfolio. These updates provide useful context for thinking about how the market is weighing long term demand for its products against broader sector sentiment. On Simply Wall St's 6 point valuation checklist, Mondelez International currently scores 2 out of 6. This sets the stage to compare different valuation approaches and, toward the end of the article, consider an even richer way to think about what this stock might be worth.
Mondelez International scores just 2/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown.
Approach 1: Mondelez International Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
A Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model estimates what a stock could be worth by projecting future cash flows and discounting them back to today’s dollars. It focuses on what the company may generate for shareholders over time rather than only looking at current earnings or book value.
For Mondelez International, the model used is a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach. The latest twelve month free cash flow stands at about $2.53b. Analyst and extrapolated projections point to free cash flow of $4.60b in 2028, with a series of estimated cash flows running out to 2035, all expressed in dollars and then discounted back to today under this framework.
Putting these cash flows together, the DCF model points to an estimated intrinsic value of about $108.56 per share, compared with the recent share price of $61.55. That implies the stock is trading at roughly a 43.3% discount to this intrinsic value, suggesting the market price is meaningfully below what this particular model indicates.
Result: UNDERVALUED
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Mondelez International is undervalued by 43.3%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 51 more high quality undervalued stocks.MDLZ Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2026
Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Mondelez International.
Story Continues
Approach 2: Mondelez International Price vs Earnings
For profitable companies, the P/E ratio is a useful way to think about what you are paying for each dollar of earnings. It links directly to how quickly those earnings might grow and how predictable they are, which is often what investors focus on when deciding what feels reasonable to pay for a stock.
In general, stronger growth expectations and lower perceived risk tend to support a higher P/E, while slower growth and higher uncertainty usually align with a lower P/E. Mondelez International currently trades on a P/E of 30.3x. That sits above the Food industry average of 16.2x and the peer group average of 26.1x, so the stock is priced at a higher multiple than many of its sector peers.
Simply Wall St’s “Fair Ratio” provides another lens. It estimates what a suitable P/E could be for Mondelez International given factors such as its earnings growth profile, industry, profit margins, market cap and risk characteristics. Because it blends these company specific inputs, it can give a more tailored view than a simple comparison with peers or broad industry averages. The current Fair Ratio for Mondelez International is 25.7x, which is below the actual P/E of 30.3x, indicating the shares look overvalued on this metric.
Result: OVERVALUEDNasdaqGS:MDLZ P/E Ratio as at May 2026
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Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Mondelez International Narrative
Earlier it was mentioned that there is an even better way to think about valuation. Consider Narratives, which let you set out your own story about Mondelez International, link that story to assumptions for future revenue, earnings and margins, and then turn those into a Fair Value that you can easily compare with the current share price on Simply Wall St’s Community page. This is where millions of investors share views, and where Narratives are updated automatically as new data like news or earnings arrives. One investor might build a Narrative closer to the higher analyst fair value of about US$75.00 if they think cocoa cost pressures and demand risks are manageable. Another might lean toward the lower end near US$55.00 if they place more weight on margin pressures and softer volumes. This gives you a clear way to see which story you agree with and whether the current price looks attractive or stretched against your own Fair Value range.
Do you think there's more to the story for Mondelez International? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!NasdaqGS:MDLZ 1-Year Stock Price Chart
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include MDLZ.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
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- Zacks Industry Outlook Highlights Mondelez, McCormick, Post Holdings and The Chefs' Warehouse
May 8, 2026
For Immediate Release
Chicago, IL – May 8, 2026 – Today, Zacks Equity Research discusses Mondelez International, Inc. MDLZ, McCormick & Co. MKC, Post Holdings, Inc. POST and The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. CHEF.
Industry: Food
Link: https://www.zacks.com/commentary/2917066/4-miscellaneous-food-stocks-worth-watching-amid-industry-challenges
The Zacks Food-Miscellaneous industry is facing a challenging environment as persistent inflation and elevated living costs continue to pressure consumer spending. Increasing demand for value-oriented products and private-label alternatives, along with softer foodservice trends, are weighing on sales volumes and pricing flexibility across the sector.
Despite these headwinds, food companies are focusing on operational efficiencies, product innovation and portfolio optimization to drive long-term growth. Industry leaders such as Mondelez International, Inc., McCormick & Co., Post Holdings, Inc. and The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. are leveraging strong brands, strategic investments and evolving product offerings to strengthen their market positions.
About the Industry
The Zacks Food-Miscellaneous industry consists of companies that manufacture and sell a wide range of food and packaged food items, such as cereals, flour, sauces, bakery items, spices and condiments, natural and organic food items and frozen products. Some companies also provide comfort food items, such as chocolates and ready-to-serve meals, soups and snacks. A few players are engaged in providing pet food products and supplements.
Several food companies also offer organic and natural products. Companies operating in this space sell their products mainly through wholesalers, distributors, large retail organizations, grocery chains, mass merchandisers, drug stores and e-commerce service providers. Some also cater to foodservice channels, including restaurants, cafes and hotels. Others offer services to schools, hospitals and industry caterers.
Major Trends Shaping the Future of the Food Industry
Value-Conscious Consumer Behavior Pressures Demand: Consumer spending patterns remain pressured, with shoppers increasingly prioritizing value and affordability in everyday food purchases. Elevated living costs have accelerated the shift toward private-label and lower-priced alternatives, creating volume pressure for branded food manufacturers. Foodservice demand has also remained uneven as consumers moderate dining frequency and favor at-home consumption trends. These dynamics have intensified promotional activity and competition across categories, weighing on organic volume growth and limiting pricing flexibility for several industry participants.
Story Continues
Persistent Cost Inflation Pressures Margins: Food companies continue to face elevated costs across raw materials, labor, packaging and transportation. Although prior pricing actions have provided partial relief, margin recovery remains uneven amid ongoing cost volatility. At the same time, companies are investing in supply-chain resilience, automation, manufacturing upgrades and operational efficiencies to strengthen long-term competitiveness. While strategically important, these initiatives have added near-term cost pressure, making profitability increasingly dependent on productivity gains, execution and disciplined expense management.
Health and Wellness Trends Drive Portfolio Innovation: Growing demand for health-focused, functional and premium food products continues to create long-term growth opportunities across the industry. Consumers remain increasingly drawn toward brands offering cleaner labels, nutritional benefits and convenience-oriented innovation.
In response, companies are modernizing portfolios through product innovation, reformulation initiatives and expansion into emerging consumption categories. These efforts are helping strengthen brand relevance, support pricing resilience and position companies for more sustainable long-term growth within the Food-Miscellaneous industry.
Zacks Industry Rank Indicates Dull Prospects
The Zacks Food-Miscellaneous industry is housed within the broader Zacks Consumer Staples sector. The industry currently carries a Zacks Industry Rank #201, which places it in the bottom 18% of more than 244 Zacks industries.
The group’s Zacks Industry Rank, which is the average of the Zacks Rank of all the member stocks, indicates dull near-term prospects. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.
Looking at the aggregate earnings estimate revisions, it appears that analysts are gradually losing confidence about this group’s earnings growth potential. Since the beginning of February 2026, the industry’s consensus earnings estimate for the current financial year has declined 4.9%.
Let’s take a look at the industry’s performance and current valuation.
Industry vs. Broader Market
The Zacks Food-Miscellaneous industry has underperformed the S&P 500 and the broader Zacks Consumer Staples sector over the past year.
The industry has declined 23.5% over this period against the S&P 500’s growth of 34.2%. Meanwhile, the broader sector has declined 1.8% in the said time frame.
Industry's Current Valuation
On the basis of forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E), which is commonly used for valuing consumer staples stocks, the industry is currently trading at 13.84X compared with the S&P 500’s 21.83X and the sector’s 16.74X.
Over the past five years, the industry has traded as high as 20.77X and as low as 13.84X, with the median being at 16.77X.
4 Food Stocks to Keep a Close Eye On
Chefs' Warehouse: This Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) company is a leading specialty food distributor serving chefs, fine-dining restaurants, hotels and catering businesses across North America and select international markets. The company continues to benefit from strong demand for premium specialty ingredients, center-of-the-plate products and value-added foodservice offerings.
Chefs’ Warehouse is leveraging investments in infrastructure, technology and salesforce expansion to drive market-share gains and customer penetration. Its diversified product portfolio, strategic pricing initiatives and focus on operational efficiencies continue to support profitability growth. The company also remains focused on disciplined expansion and selective acquisition opportunities to strengthen its long-term growth platform. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CHEF’s current fiscal-year earnings per share (EPS) has risen 8.7% to $2.37 in the past seven days. Shares of Chefs' Warehouse have rallied 28.4% over the past year.
Post Holdings: This Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) company has made notable strides through strategic acquisitions, including Perfection Pet Foods and Deeside Cereals, strengthening its presence in the pet food and cereal categories. Backed by an expanding distribution footprint and a favorable product mix, the Foodservice segment continues to serve as an important growth driver for Post Holdings. The company also benefits from pricing initiatives and operational efficiencies aimed at mitigating input-cost inflation.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for POST’s current fiscal-year EPS has remained unchanged at $7.24 over the past seven days. Shares of Post Holdings have declined 6.4% over the past year.
Mondelez: This Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) company is a global snacking powerhouse with a strong portfolio of iconic brands, including Oreo, Ritz, LU, Clif Bar and Tate’s Bake Shop, along with premium chocolate brands such as Cadbury Dairy Milk, Milka and Toblerone. Mondelez continues to drive growth through its core categories, including chocolate, biscuits and baked snacks.
Strategic portfolio optimization, product innovation and strong brand activations remain key contributors to the company’s long-term growth strategy. Mondelez is also focused on enhancing brand relevance, improving operational efficiency and maintaining disciplined cost management to support profitability. In addition, the company continues to expand its presence in better-for-you and wellness-oriented snacking categories to address evolving consumer preferences.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Mondelez’s current financial-year EPS has risen 0.7% to $3.06 in the past seven days. Shares of MDLZ have fallen 8% in the past year.
McCormick: The company is a global leader in flavor, engaged in the manufacturing, marketing and distribution of herbs, spices, seasonings, condiments and flavor solutions. It currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). McCormick continues to strengthen its market position through innovation, brand investments and expanded distribution capabilities across key global markets.
The company benefits from multiple growth drivers, including product and packaging innovation, category management initiatives and advanced R&D capabilities. MKC’s ability to generate growth through higher volumes, alongside strategic brand support, reflects the strong consumer appeal of its diversified portfolio. McCormick’s Comprehensive Continuous Improvement program also remains a key driver of productivity gains, operational efficiencies and margin expansion.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MKC’s current financial-year EPS has remained unchanged at $3.09 over the past seven days. Shares of McCormick have dropped 36.4% in the past year.
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Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss. This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Zacks Investment Research does not engage in investment banking, market making or asset management activities of any securities. These returns are from hypothetical portfolios consisting of stocks with Zacks Rank = 1 that were rebalanced monthly with zero transaction costs. These are not the returns of actual portfolios of stocks. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index. Visit https://www.zacks.com/performance for information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release.
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McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC) : Free Stock Analysis Report
Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) : Free Stock Analysis Report
The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (CHEF) : Free Stock Analysis Report
Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) : Free Stock Analysis Report
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- 4 Miscellaneous Food Stocks Worth Watching Amid Industry Challenges
May 7, 2026
The Zacks Food-Miscellaneous industry is facing a challenging environment as persistent inflation and elevated living costs continue to pressure consumer spending. Increasing demand for value-oriented products and private-label alternatives, along with softer foodservice trends, are weighing on sales volumes and pricing flexibility across the sector.
Despite these headwinds, food companies are focusing on operational efficiencies, product innovation and portfolio optimization to drive long-term growth. Industry leaders such as Mondelez International, Inc. MDLZ, McCormick & Company MKC, Post Holdings, Inc. POST and The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. CHEF are leveraging strong brands, strategic investments and evolving product offerings to strengthen their market positions.
About the Industry
The Zacks Food-Miscellaneous industry consists of companies that manufacture and sell a wide range of food and packaged food items, such as cereals, flour, sauces, bakery items, spices and condiments, natural and organic food items and frozen products. Some companies also provide comfort food items, such as chocolates and ready-to-serve meals, soups and snacks. A few players are engaged in providing pet food products and supplements. Several food companies also offer organic and natural products. Companies operating in this space sell their products mainly through wholesalers, distributors, large retail organizations, grocery chains, mass merchandisers, drug stores and e-commerce service providers. Some also cater to foodservice channels, including restaurants, cafes and hotels. Others offer services to schools, hospitals and industry caterers.
Major Trends Shaping the Future of the Food Industry
Value-Conscious Consumer Behavior Pressures Demand: Consumer spending patterns remain pressured, with shoppers increasingly prioritizing value and affordability in everyday food purchases. Elevated living costs have accelerated the shift toward private-label and lower-priced alternatives, creating volume pressure for branded food manufacturers. Foodservice demand has also remained uneven as consumers moderate dining frequency and favor at-home consumption trends. These dynamics have intensified promotional activity and competition across categories, weighing on organic volume growth and limiting pricing flexibility for several industry participants.
Persistent Cost Inflation Pressures Margins: Food companies continue to face elevated costs across raw materials, labor, packaging and transportation. Although prior pricing actions have provided partial relief, margin recovery remains uneven amid ongoing cost volatility. At the same time, companies are investing in supply-chain resilience, automation, manufacturing upgrades and operational efficiencies to strengthen long-term competitiveness. While strategically important, these initiatives have added near-term cost pressure, making profitability increasingly dependent on productivity gains, execution and disciplined expense management.
Story Continues
Health and Wellness Trends Drive Portfolio Innovation: Growing demand for health-focused, functional and premium food products continues to create long-term growth opportunities across the industry. Consumers remain increasingly drawn toward brands offering cleaner labels, nutritional benefits and convenience-oriented innovation. In response, companies are modernizing portfolios through product innovation, reformulation initiatives and expansion into emerging consumption categories. These efforts are helping strengthen brand relevance, support pricing resilience and position companies for more sustainable long-term growth within the Food-Miscellaneous industry.
Zacks Industry Rank Indicates Dull Prospects
The Zacks Food-Miscellaneous industry is housed within the broader Zacks Consumer Staples sector. The industry currently carries a Zacks Industry Rank #201, which places it in the bottom 18% of more than 244 Zacks industries.
The group’s Zacks Industry Rank, which is the average of the Zacks Rank of all the member stocks, indicates dull near-term prospects. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.
Looking at the aggregate earnings estimate revisions, it appears that analysts are gradually losing confidence about this group’s earnings growth potential. Since the beginning of February 2026, the industry’s consensus earnings estimate for the current financial year has declined 4.9%.
Let’s take a look at the industry’s performance and current valuation.
Industry vs. Broader Market
The Zacks Food-Miscellaneous industry has underperformed the S&P 500 and the broader Zacks Consumer Staples sector over the past year.
The industry has declined 23.5% over this period against the S&P 500’s growth of 34.2%. Meanwhile, the broader sector has declined 1.8% in the said time frame.
One-Year Price Performance
Industry's Current Valuation
On the basis of forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E), which is commonly used for valuing consumer staples stocks, the industry is currently trading at 13.84X compared with the S&P 500’s 21.83X and the sector’s 16.74X.
Over the past five years, the industry has traded as high as 20.77X and as low as 13.84X, with the median being at 16.77X, as the chart below shows.
Price-to-Earnings Ratio (Past 5 Years)
4 Food Stocks to Keep a Close Eye On
Chefs' Warehouse: This Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) company is a leading specialty food distributor serving chefs, fine-dining restaurants, hotels and catering businesses across North America and select international markets. The company continues to benefit from strong demand for premium specialty ingredients, center-of-the-plate products and value-added foodservice offerings. Chefs’ Warehouse is leveraging investments in infrastructure, technology and salesforce expansion to drive market-share gains and customer penetration. Its diversified product portfolio, strategic pricing initiatives and focus on operational efficiencies continue to support profitability growth. The company also remains focused on disciplined expansion and selective acquisition opportunities to strengthen its long-term growth platform. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CHEF’s current fiscal-year earnings per share (EPS) has risen 8.7% to $2.37 in the past seven days. Shares of Chefs' Warehouse have rallied 28.4% over the past year.
Price and Consensus: CHEF
Post Holdings: This Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) company has made notable strides through strategic acquisitions, including Perfection Pet Foods and Deeside Cereals, strengthening its presence in the pet food and cereal categories. Backed by an expanding distribution footprint and a favorable product mix, the Foodservice segment continues to serve as an important growth driver for Post Holdings. The company also benefits from pricing initiatives and operational efficiencies aimed at mitigating input-cost inflation.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for POST’s current fiscal-year EPS has remained unchanged at $7.24 over the past seven days. Shares of Post Holdings have declined 6.4% over the past year.
Price and Consensus: POST
Mondelez: This Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) company is a global snacking powerhouse with a strong portfolio of iconic brands, including Oreo, Ritz, LU, Clif Bar and Tate’s Bake Shop, along with premium chocolate brands such as Cadbury Dairy Milk, Milka and Toblerone. Mondelez continues to drive growth through its core categories, including chocolate, biscuits and baked snacks. Strategic portfolio optimization, product innovation and strong brand activations remain key contributors to the company’s long-term growth strategy. Mondelez is also focused on enhancing brand relevance, improving operational efficiency and maintaining disciplined cost management to support profitability. In addition, the company continues to expand its presence in better-for-you and wellness-oriented snacking categories to address evolving consumer preferences.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Mondelez’s current financial-year EPS has risen 0.7% to $3.06 in the past seven days. Shares of MDLZ have fallen 8% in the past year.
Price and Consensus: MDLZ
McCormick: The company is a global leader in flavor, engaged in the manufacturing, marketing and distribution of herbs, spices, seasonings, condiments and flavor solutions. It currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). McCormick continues to strengthen its market position through innovation, brand investments and expanded distribution capabilities across key global markets. The company benefits from multiple growth drivers, including product and packaging innovation, category management initiatives and advanced R&D capabilities. MKC’s ability to generate growth through higher volumes, alongside strategic brand support, reflects the strong consumer appeal of its diversified portfolio. McCormick’s Comprehensive Continuous Improvement program also remains a key driver of productivity gains, operational efficiencies and margin expansion.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MKC’s current financial-year EPS has remained unchanged at $3.09 over the past seven days. Shares of McCormick have dropped 36.4% in the past year.
Price and Consensus: MKC
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Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) : Free Stock Analysis Report
McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC) : Free Stock Analysis Report
The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (CHEF) : Free Stock Analysis Report
Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) : Free Stock Analysis Report
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- Investing in Mondelez (MDLZ)? Don't Miss Assessing Its International Revenue Trends
May 4, 2026
Have you evaluated the performance of Mondelez's (MDLZ) international operations during the quarter that concluded in March 2026? Considering the extensive worldwide presence of this maker of Oreo cookies, Cadbury chocolate and Trident gum, analyzing the patterns in international revenues is crucial for understanding its financial resilience and potential for growth.
In the current era of a tightly interconnected global economy, the proficiency of a company to penetrate international markets significantly influences its financial health and trajectory of growth. For investors, the key is to grasp how reliant a company is on overseas markets, as this provides insights into the durability of its earnings, its ability to exploit different economic cycles, and its overall growth capabilities.
Being present in foreign markets serves as protection against local economic declines and helps benefit from more rapidly expanding economies. Yet, such expansion also introduces challenges related to currency fluctuations, geopolitical uncertainties and varied market behaviors.
Our review of MDLZ's last quarterly performance uncovered some notable trends in the revenue contributions from its international markets, which are commonly analyzed and tracked by Wall Street experts.
For the quarter, the company's total revenue amounted to $10.08 billion, experiencing an increase of 8.2% year over year. Next, we'll explore the breakdown of MDLZ's international revenue to understand the importance of its overseas business operations.
Unveiling Trends in MDLZ's International Revenues
During the quarter, AMEA contributed $2.3 billion in revenue, making up 22.9% of the total revenue. When compared to the consensus estimate of $2.16 billion, this meant a surprise of +6.78%. Looking back, AMEA contributed $2.08 billion, or 19.8%, in the previous quarter, and $2.02 billion, or 21.7%, in the same quarter of the previous year.
Of the total revenue, $3.87 billion came from Europe during the last fiscal quarter, accounting for 38.4%. This represented a surprise of +1.19% as analysts had expected the region to contribute $3.83 billion to the total revenue. In comparison, the region contributed $4.39 billion, or 41.8%, and $3.55 billion, or 38.1%, to total revenue in the previous and year-ago quarters, respectively.
Latin America accounted for 13.4% of the company's total revenue during the quarter, translating to $1.35 billion. Revenues from this region represented a surprise of +3.88%, with Wall Street analysts collectively expecting $1.3 billion. When compared to the preceding quarter and the same quarter in the previous year, Latin America contributed $1.26 billion (12%) and $1.2 billion (12.9%) to the total revenue, respectively.
Story Continues
Prospective Revenues in International Markets
Wall Street analysts expect Mondelez to report a total revenue of $9.28 billion in the current fiscal quarter, which suggests an increase of 3.3% from the prior-year quarter. Revenue shares from AMEA, Europe and Latin America are predicted to be 20.5%, 37.4%, and 13.7%, corresponding to amounts of $1.9 billion, $3.47 billion, and $1.27 billion, respectively.
For the entire year, the company's total revenue is forecasted to be $39.81 billion, which is an improvement of 3.3% from the previous year. The revenue contributions from different regions are expected as follows: AMEA will contribute 21% ($8.36 billion), Europe 38.7% ($15.42 billion) and Latin America 13.2% ($5.24 billion) to the total revenue.
The Bottom Line
Relying on global markets for revenues presents both prospects and challenges for Mondelez. Therefore, scrutinizing its international revenue trends is key to effectively forecasting the company's future outlook.
In an era of growing international interdependencies and escalating geopolitical disputes, Wall Street analysts are vigilant in tracking these trends for businesses with a global reach, in order to refine their predictions of earnings. It should be noted, however, that a multitude of other elements, such as a company's domestic position, also play a significant role in shaping the earnings forecasts.
We at Zacks strongly focus on the dynamic earnings forecast of companies, given that empirical studies have demonstrated its potent impact on the immediate price movement of stocks. Invariably, there's a positive relationship -- upward earnings predictions often result in an increase in stock prices.
With an impressive externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool - the Zacks Rank - harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions and serves as an effective indicator of a stock's near-term price performance.
Currently, Mondelez holds a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), signifying its potential to match the overall market's performance in the forthcoming period. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stocks here >>>> .
Reviewing Mondelez's Recent Stock Price Trends
Over the past month, the stock has seen an increase of 6.7% in its value, whereas the Zacks S&P 500 composite has posted an increase of 10%. The Zacks Consumer Staples sector, Mondelez's industry group, has ascended 3.2% over the identical span. In the past three months, there's been an increase of 2.3% in the company's stock price, against a rise of 4.4% in the S&P 500 index. The broader sector has declined by 1.7% during this interval.
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- The LUNA Brand Debuts New "Easy to Love" Campaign Starring Jessica Alba as Brand Fan Turned Ambassador
May 4, 2026
New era for the deliciously good snacking brand is marked by first campaign and bar innovation in years
EAST HANOVER, N.J., May 4, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- LUNA Bar, the gluten-free snack bar brand dedicated to helping consumers elevate the moment, today launched its new "Easy to Love" creative campaign, starring longtime brand fan Jessica Alba as its inaugural ambassador.LUNA Bar today launched its new “Easy to Love” creative campaign, starring longtime brand fan Jessica Alba as its inaugural ambassador.
For years, Jessica Alba has kept one thing constant in her bag and on set: a LUNA bar. Now, the award-nominated actress, bestselling author, entrepreneur, and wellness advocate is officially taking her brand love to the next level with LUNA Bar.
"When the LUNA Brand approached me to become their new Brand Ambassador and help collaborate on their new campaign, it was an easy yes," said Jessica Alba, actress, entrepreneur, and LUNA Bar Brand Ambassador. "I've loved this bar for years. LUNA Bar reflects what's important to me: quality ingredients, great taste, and an intentional approach to everyday snacking."
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"Easy to Love" Campaign Features Brand Ambassador, Jessica Alba The new "Easy to Love" campaign highlights how LUNA Bar is simply easy to love with the help of Jessica Alba – a real fan-turned-Brand Ambassador. The collaboration is grounded in authenticity as Alba is a genuine LUNA Bar enthusiast who helped bring the campaign to life from concept to execution, bringing her passion for the brand to champion its "Deliciously Good Agenda" on commitment to great taste and quality ingredients.
Launching across TikTok and Instagram, the "Easy to Love" campaign features a series of short and long form social videos (LEMONZEST, Spokesperson, Texture, and Work) that trace Alba's journey from a devoted fan to Brand Ambassador. Throughout the creative, Alba highlights what she loves most about LUNA Bar: standout flavors, quality ingredients, and a convenient bar format that fits seamlessly into her everyday routine.
The multi-platform "Easy to Love" campaign rollout includes organic and paid social across LUNA Bar TikTok and Meta accounts; organic social content on Jessica Alba's Instagram and TikTok; and display and shopper ads at top national retailers.
The LUNA Brand Enters New Deliciously Good Era Alba's partnership comes as LUNA Bar undergoes one of its most significant transformations since its debut over two decades ago. The new campaign marks the brand's first major creative effort in seven years alongside its first new bar innovation, Berry Bars, in six years. Crafted with organic oats and 7-9 grams of plant-based protein, LUNA bars are available in flavors that deliver on consumer demand for taste including LEMONZEST, LEMONZEST + Blueberry,NUTZ OVER CHOCOLATE Flavored, and Chocolatey Dipped Coconut.
Story Continues
"The debut of our first creative campaign in seven years is the start of a new chapter for the LUNA Brand," said Valerie Van Arkel, Director of Marketing for the LUNA and ZBAR Brands at Mondelēz International. "With LUNA Bar, we're focused on delivering bars with delicious flavors and quality ingredients that fit into your daily routine. From our classic LEMONZEST flavor to our new Berry Bars innovation, LUNA Bar is truly easy to love, and we're thrilled to partner with Jessica Alba as we enter a new chapter."
Flavor Meets Fiber: New LUNA Berry Bars Product Details The LUNA Brand recently introduced Berry Bars, the brand's first bar innovation in nearly six years. Available in Mixed Berry and Strawberry Banana flavors, LUNA Berry Bars offer real fruit, real deliciousness, 7-8 grams of plant-based protein, and are a good source of fiber with 4 grams per bar, answering consumer demand for delicious fiber options. The new Berry Bars join the brand's iconic lineup, expanding choice while staying true to the LUNA Bar core mission of quality ingredients and great taste.
For more information and the latest on the LUNA Brand, the bar that's easy to love, fans can visit clifbar.com/luna, or follow LUNA Bar on TikTok @LUNABarOfficial and Instagram @LUNABar.
About LUNA Bar:
For 28 years, the CLIF brand has crafted delicious food with quality ingredients under its CLIF BAR, ZBAR, and LUNABAR brands. In 2022, the CLIF brand became part of the Mondelēz International, Inc. (Nasdaq: MDLZ), portfolio of brands empowering people to snack right in over 150 countries around the world. With 2024 net revenue of approximately $36.4 billion, Mondelēz is leading the future of snacking with other iconic global and local brands such as OREO, RITZ, belVita, LU, and TATE'S BAKE SHOP biscuits and baked snacks, as well as CADBURY DAIRY MILK, MILKA, and TOBLERONE chocolate. Mondelēz International is a proud member of the Standard and Poor's 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow Jones Sustainability Index. For more information about LUNA BAR, please visit LUNA | Mondelēz International, Inc. (mondelezinternational.com).For years, Jessica Alba has kept one thing constant in her bag and on set: a LUNA bar.LUNA bar logoCision
View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/the-luna-brand-debuts-new-easy-to-love-campaign-starring-jessica-alba-as-brand-fan-turned-ambassador-302760435.html
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- Mondelez (MDLZ) Rated Buy by BTIG on Stable Valuation
May 3, 2026
Mondelez International, Inc. (NASDAQ:MDLZ) ranks among the best low-risk investments in May 2026. On April 13, BTIG began coverage of Mondelez International, Inc. (NASDAQ:MDLZ) with a Buy rating and a $70 price target. The firm’s valuation indicates an enterprise value-to-EBITDA ratio of roughly 15x, which is broadly consistent with its historical average, implying that the shares are reasonably priced despite its defensive characteristics.
Pixabay/Public Domain
Mondelez’s position in high-demand snack categories, especially in emerging economies, provides a long-term engine for growth, enhancing the company’s low-risk profile.
BTIG analysts anticipate higher earnings in 2027 due to lower cocoa prices, which may encourage margin growth. In addition, improved free cash flow, driven by higher margins and working capital efficiencies, may allow for more share repurchases or strategic acquisitions.
Similarly, Bank of America named Mondelez International, Inc. (NASDAQ:MDLZ) one of its top consumer staples favorites, keeping earnings projections of $0.60 per share for the first quarter and $3.02 for fiscal 2026, vs. consensus of $0.61 and $3.03, respectively.
Mondelez International, Inc. (NASDAQ:MDLZ), often known as Mondelēz International, is a Chicago-based international company that specializes in confectionery, food, beverages, and snacks.
While we acknowledge the potential of MDLZ as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you're looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock.
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- A Look At Mondelez International (MDLZ) Valuation After Its Strong First Quarter 2026 Results
May 2, 2026
Get insights on thousands of stocks from the global community of over 7 million individual investors at Simply Wall St.
Mondelez International (MDLZ) caught investors’ attention after its first quarter 2026 earnings, reporting sales of US$10.08b and net income of US$560m, while management kept full-year guidance unchanged despite ongoing cost and geopolitical pressures.
See our latest analysis for Mondelez International.
The Q1 earnings beat and reaffirmed guidance have helped improve sentiment, with a 7.5% 30 day share price return and 14.4% year to date share price return. However, the 1 year total shareholder return remains 6.4% lower, suggesting momentum has picked up recently after a weaker stretch.
If recent Mondelez moves have you rethinking your watchlist, this could be a good moment to see what else is gaining interest through the 18 top founder-led companies
With Mondelez now trading at US$61.37 after a strong Q1 and a solid rebound in recent weeks, the key question for you is simple: is there still value left in the stock, or is the market already pricing in future growth?
Most Popular Narrative: 7.5% Undervalued
At $61.37, the latest widely followed narrative pegs Mondelez International’s fair value at $66.36, implying some upside once its earnings story fully plays out.
Mondelez International is executing a robust pricing strategy in response to high cocoa costs, which is expected to improve revenue as pricing takes effect globally, especially in markets like Europe and emerging markets. The company is implementing a strategic growth agenda that includes reinvesting in brands, expanding distribution, and strengthening market presence, which should positively impact revenue growth and market share.
Read the complete narrative.
Want to see what sits behind that confidence in future earnings and margins? The narrative leans heavily on steady top line growth and a richer profit profile. Curious which assumptions on pricing power, cost trends and valuation multiples are doing the heavy lifting?
Result: Fair Value of $66.36 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, you also need to factor in the risk that cocoa costs stay elevated for longer and that softer volumes in markets like North America persist.
Find out about the key risks to this Mondelez International narrative.
Another View: What Earnings Multiples Are Telling You
The DCF based fair value of $109.08 paints Mondelez as significantly undervalued, yet the current P/E of 30.2x is higher than both the US Food industry at 20.9x and the fair ratio of 25.6x. Is this a margin of safety, or is it a premium that could compress?
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See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.NasdaqGS:MDLZ P/E Ratio as at May 2026
Next Steps
With mixed signals on value and sentiment, this is the kind of setup where acting quickly to check the underlying data yourself really matters, so weigh both sides by reviewing the 2 key rewards and 3 important warning signs
Looking for more investment ideas?
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include MDLZ.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
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- Mondelez Flags Low US Confidence As Iran Conflict Weighs On Consumers
Apr 29, 2026
This article first appeared on GuruFocus.
Geopolitics is starting to bleed into consumer behavior, and Mondelez International (NASDAQ:MDLZ) is seeing early signs of that pressure. Chief Executive Officer Dirk Van de Put said on the company's earnings call that US consumer confidence remains quite low and could deteriorate further as the conflict in Iran continues, with households increasingly concerned about the economy, job security, and affordability. The commentary suggests sentiment could remain fragile in the near term, particularly as external uncertainty continues to weigh on spending psychology.
Warning! GuruFocus has detected 5 Warning Signs with MDLZ. List of 52-Week Lows List of 3-Year Lows List of 5-Year Lows Is MDLZ fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator.
That weakness appears most visible among lower-income consumers, where purchasing behavior is becoming more defensive. Van de Put indicated that these shoppers are focusing on cheaper items and are being more selective about when and what they buy, a shift that could signal tightening discretionary budgets. The trend aligns with a broader environment where consumers are adjusting to affordability pressures, potentially reshaping demand patterns across everyday categories.
Recent data reinforces that cautious tone. The University of Michigan reported that its final April sentiment index fell to a record low, reflecting concerns tied to the economic fallout from the Iran war. Despite that backdrop, Mondelez reported better-than-expected earnings and reaffirmed its full-year forecast, suggesting the company could be maintaining operational stability even as macro conditions remain uncertain.
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- Mondelez Q1 Earnings Beat Estimates, Revenues Up 8.2% Y/Y
Apr 29, 2026
Mondelez International, Inc. MDLZ posted first-quarter 2026 results, wherein both top and bottom lines beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate. While net sales increased, earnings decreased from the year-ago period’s actuals.
Adjusted earnings were 67 cents per share, which decreased 14.9% on a constant-currency (cc) basis. The decline was caused by weaker operating performance and higher income taxes, partially offset by lower interest and other expenses, as well as a reduced share count. The metric beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 61 cents per share.
Mondelez International, Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS SurpriseMondelez International, Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Mondelez International, Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Mondelez International, Inc. Quote
Net revenues rose 8.2% year over year to $10,080 million, outpacing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $9,790 million. This growth was driven by favorable currency-related factors and underlying organic net revenue gains, partially offset by the absence of prior-year revenues from a divestiture.
Organic net revenues rose 3% year over year in the first quarter, primarily driven by pricing, which contributed 3.5 percentage points, while volume/mix declined 0.5 percentage points.
MDLZ’s Revenue & Margin Breakdown: Key Insights
Revenues from emerging markets increased 11.4% year over year to $4,149 million, with organic growth of 6.3%. Growth in these markets was supported by strong results in India and Brazil, along with solid growth in China and Southeast Asia. These gains reflect continued focus on expanding distribution and strengthening consumer engagement.
Revenues from developed markets increased 6.1% year over year to $5,931 million, with organic growth of 0.8%. Growth was supported by gradual improvement across key regions. In North America, growth was modest, with the U.S. biscuit business showing sequential improvement.
Region-wise, revenues jumped 12.1% in Latin America and 14.3% in Asia, the Middle East and Africa, 9% in Europe and 0.5% in North America. On an organic basis, revenues rose 11.3% in AMEA, 5.1% in Latin America, 0.5% in North America and fell 0.6% in Europe.
Adjusted gross profit decreased 5.4% on a cc basis, while adjusted gross profit margin declined 270 basis points to 30.7%, mainly due to elevated input cost inflation and unfavorable volume/mix. These pressures were partly mitigated by higher pricing and lower manufacturing costs driven by productivity gains.
Adjusted operating income decreased 19% on a cc basis, with adjusted operating margin decreasing 310 basis points to 11.7%. The decline was caused by elevated input costs, unfavorable volume/mix, increased advertising and consumer promotion spending, and higher selling, general, and administrative expenses. These were partially offset by higher pricing and lower manufacturing costs from productivity improvements.
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Mondelez’s Financial Health Snapshot
MDLZ ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $1,524 million and total debt of $21,024 million. For the three months ended March 31, 2026, the company generated $467 million in net cash from operating activities and delivered free cash flow of $155 million.
During the quarter, the company returned $0.6 billion to its shareholders through dividends.
What to Expect From MDLZ in 2026?
For 2026, the company reaffirmed its guidance for organic net revenue growth in the range of flat to 2% and adjusted EPS growth of flat to 5% on a constant currency basis. Free cash flow is expected to be approximately $3 billion.
This Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) company has risen 2.2% in the past three months against the industry’s 8.9% decline.Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Stocks to Consider
Post Holdings, Inc. POST operates as a consumer-packaged goods holding company in the United States and internationally. At present, POST holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
The consensus estimate for Post Holdings’ current fiscal-year sales and earnings implies growth of 2.7% and 0.1%, respectively, from the year-ago figures. Post Holdings delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 19.6%, on average.
Smithfield Foods, Inc. SFD produces packaged meats and fresh pork in the United States and internationally. It carries a Zacks Rank #2 at present. Smithfield Foods delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 15.3%, on average.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Smithfield Foods’ current fiscal-year sales and earnings indicates growth of 1.1% and 7.5%, respectively, from the prior-year levels.
Tyson Foods, Inc. TSN operates as a food company worldwide. It currently has a Zacks Rank #2. Tyson Foods delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 16.5%, on average.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Tyson Foods’ current fiscal-year sales indicates growth of 4.4%, from the prior-year reported levels.
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Tyson Foods, Inc. (TSN) : Free Stock Analysis Report
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Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) : Free Stock Analysis Report
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This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).
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- Mondelez’s First-Quarter Profit Jump Could Be A Game Changer For Mondelez International (MDLZ)
Apr 29, 2026
Mondelez International reported past first-quarter 2026 results showing sales of US$10.08 billion and net income of US$560 million, with earnings per share from continuing operations rising to US$0.44 from US$0.31 a year earlier. These stronger-than-expected earnings, alongside management’s emphasis on resilient performance amid macro volatility, have sharpened investor focus on how effectively Mondelez’s strategy is translating into profit growth. Now we’ll examine how this earnings outperformance, particularly the improvement in profit versus last year, affects Mondelez’s existing investment narrative.
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Mondelez International Investment Narrative Recap
To own Mondelez, you generally need to believe in the durability of its global snacking brands and their ability to turn steady demand into consistent profit. The latest quarter’s stronger earnings and revenue, helped by emerging markets, support that view but do not remove key near term risks like high input costs and patchy demand in North America. For now, the earnings beat reinforces the main catalyst, which is management’s push to convert resilient sales into firmer margins.
Among recent developments, the special edition Grogu Nilla Nummies launch with Lucasfilm is a good example of how Mondelez tries to keep its brands culturally relevant and support pricing power. While small in financial terms, this kind of product activity connects directly to the earnings catalyst by helping sustain consumer interest at a time when higher prices and softer demand in some regions are pressing on volumes.
Yet beneath the stronger quarter, investors should still watch how rising cocoa costs could squeeze margins and potentially...
Read the full narrative on Mondelez International (it's free!)
Mondelez International's narrative projects $42.1 billion revenue and $4.2 billion earnings by 2029. This requires 3.0% yearly revenue growth and a $1.7 billion earnings increase from $2.5 billion today.
Uncover how Mondelez International's forecasts yield a $66.36 fair value, a 13% upside to its current price.
Exploring Other PerspectivesMDLZ 1-Year Stock Price Chart
Three members of the Simply Wall St Community currently see Mondelez’s fair value between US$66.36 and US$103.30, reflecting a wide range of expectations. Against this, the recent margin pressure from higher cocoa costs reminds you to weigh those opinions against input cost risks before deciding how the stock might fit your portfolio.
Story Continues
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Mondelez International - why the stock might be worth as much as 76% more than the current price!
Reach Your Own Conclusion
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
A great starting point for your Mondelez International research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Our free Mondelez International research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Mondelez International's overall financial health at a glance.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include MDLZ.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
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