- Constellation Brands Inc (STZ) Shares Fall 3.9% -- What GF Score of 72 Tells Investors
May 11, 2026 · gurufocus.com
On May 11, 2026, Constellation Brands Inc (STZ) shares fell 3.9% to a current price of $142.41. The stock has experienced significant volatility, trading within
- 3 Dividend Stocks Built to Last a Lifetime and Pay You the Whole Way
May 8, 2026
There is a difference between a stock that pays a dividend and a stock built around the discipline of consistently paying one. The three companies below have structured their entire capital return philosophies around their commitments to grow those dividend checks year after year, through recessions, trade wars, management transitions, and every variety of market chaos. That consistency is the output of durable competitive positions that have earned the right to be viewed as long-term holdings.
Target: 235 dividend checks and counting
Target (NYSE: TGT) has paid a dividend every single quarter since it went public in October 1967. This is a streak of 235 consecutive payments. It has raised its payouts for 54 straight years, a record that earns it entry into the exclusive club of Dividend Kings -- companies that have increased their annual payouts for at least 50 consecutive years.
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The retail giant's stock is down roughly 45% from its 2021 peak and now trades near $129, a level not seen since 2018. Its dividend yield, as a result, has expanded to roughly 3.5%, one of Target's better income entry points in years. The next ex-dividend date is May 13, meaning investors who act this week will receive the June 1 payment.
The bear case on Target is real: Comparable sales growth has been flat to negative, tariff pass-through costs are rising, and after several years of boycotts and brand damage, the company is navigating a brand refresh under new CEO Jim Lee.
But the bull case for long-term holders is equally clear: Target operates in a category -- general merchandise retail -- where the digital and physical shopping experience is converging, and its scale, store network, and fulfillment infrastructure are competitive advantages that took decades to build. Investors who bought Target stock at any point of high pessimism over the past 50 years and held on have been rewarded with both capital appreciation and a dividend that was never cut, suspended, or missed.
Nike: A stock at a 12-year low, but with a 24-year dividend-hiking streak
Nike (NYSE: NKE) is in the middle of a turnaround, and the stock has priced in far more damage than the brand itself has actually sustained. The shares trade near $43, a level not seen since 2014, down roughly 76% from their 2021 all-time high. That is the kind of markdown that historically precedes meaningful long-term returns when the underlying brand remains intact.
Story Continues
This brand is still intact. CEO Elliott Hill -- a 32-year Nike veteran who came out of retirement to lead the recovery effort -- is executing what he calls a "Wholesale Renaissance," rebuilding the distribution relationships that its prior direct-to-customer sales strategy dismantled, and restoring Nike's presence in specialty running and sport channels that competitors like Hoka and OnHolding have entered. In its fiscal 2026 third quarter, which ended Feb. 28, wholesale revenue rose 8% globally and 24% in North America, and the running category posted growth above 20% for the second straight quarter.
Meanwhile, Nike has raised its dividend for 24 consecutive years. Its next quarterly dividend of $0.41 per share, just declared in April, is payable July 1.
Constellation Brands: The beer that America already chooses
Constellation Brands (NYSE: STZ) owns Modelo Especial -- the No. 1 selling beer in the United States by volume. It owns Corona. It owns Pacifico. These are hugely popular beers in North America.
The stock is down roughly 50% from its 2023 peak, trading near $148, which has lifted its dividend yield to approximately 2.8%. The company returned more than $900 million to shareholders in fiscal 2026 despite a challenging operating environment driven by consumer caution, higher tariff costs on Mexican imports, and the divestiture of its mainstream wine and spirits portfolio.Image source: Getty Images.
That divestiture is the non-obvious positive in the Constellation story. The company shed its lower-margin wine brands to concentrate entirely on premium Mexican beer -- a segment that has taken sustained share from domestic brews for more than a decade. The underlying trend here is demographic: Latinos are the fastest-growing demographic group in the United States, and Modelo carries a level of brand equity that can't be unraveled by a trade war or a soft quarter.
For investors buying a dividend that has been maintained through real operational pressure, at a price that reflects maximum pessimism toward a brand that still dominates the No. 1 category in American drinking culture, the long-term math looks right.
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3 Dividend Stocks Built to Last a Lifetime and Pay You the Whole Way was originally published by The Motley Fool
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- 3 Dividend Stocks Built to Last a Lifetime and Pay You the Whole Way
May 8, 2026 · fool.com
Target's decades-long dividend discipline, scale advantages, and pessimistic valuation create a compelling long-term income opportunity today. Nike's intact brand and wholesale reset position it for dividend growth and upside from deeply discounted levels.
- Constellation Brands (STZ) Down 7.9% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?
May 8, 2026
A month has gone by since the last earnings report for Constellation Brands (STZ). Shares have lost about 7.9% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500.
Will the recent negative trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Constellation Brands due for a breakout? Well, first let's take a quick look at its most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the recent catalysts for Constellation Brands Inc before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late.
Constellation Brands' Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates
Constellation Brands reported fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 results, wherein the top and bottom lines surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate. The company’s sales and earnings declined year over year on weak consumer demand trends.
Comparable earnings per share (EPS) of $1.90 dropped 28% year over year in the fiscal fourth quarter but surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.74. On a reported basis, the company’s EPS was $1.16 against a loss of $2.09 reported in the year-earlier quarter.
Net sales declined 11% year over year to $1.920 billion but came above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.896 billion. Organic net sales were flat year over year.
STZ’s Q4 Performance Details
Constellation Brands' sales for the beer business jumped nearly 1% year over year to $1.73 billion, backed by a rise of 1.1% in shipment volumes and favorable pricing, partly offset by unfavorable mix. Depletions rose 0.6% as declines for Modelo Especial of just under 1% and Corona Extra of about 6% were more than offset by increases from Pacifico, Victoria and the Modelo Chelada brands of nearly 21%, 17%, and 5%, respectively.
Sales in the wine and spirits segment plunged 58% year over year to $194.2 million in the fiscal fourth quarter. The metric was hurt by a 72.9% decline in shipment volumes, reflecting the effects of the Wine & Spirits divestitures, changes in distributor contractual obligations and pricing efforts taken on certain brands.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the company's beer, and wine and spirits segments is currently pegged at $1.71 billion and $195 million, respectively.
Peeking Into Constellation Brands’ Margins
STZ's comparable operating income came in at $508 million, down 9% year over year. Operating income for the beer segment slipped 8% year over year to $572.5 million. The beer segment’s operating margin contracted 340 basis points (bps) to 33.2%, as favorability in net sales was more than offset by higher cost of goods sold owing to unfavorable fixed cost absorption, elevated depreciation and aluminum tariffs.
The wine and spirits segment reported an operating income of $2.6 million, which fell sharply from $99.7 million in the year-ago quarter. The segment’s operating margin contracted to 1.3% from 21.7%, mainly owing to the unfavorable impacts from sales, somewhat offset by favorable marketing and other selling, general and administrative expenses.
Story Continues
STZ’s Financial Position Seems Strong
As of Feb. 28, 2026, Constellation Brands’ cash and cash equivalents were $102.4 million, long-term debt (excluding current maturities) was $9.7 billion and total shareholders’ equity (excluding non-controlling interest) was $8.1 billion. The company generated an operating cash flow of $2.7 billion and an adjusted free cash flow of $1.8 billion in fiscal 2026.
STZ’s board announced a quarterly dividend of $1.03 per share for Class A shares on April 8, 2026, representing a hike of 1%. The dividend is payable on May 14 to its shareholders of record as of April 29, 2026.
The company’s strong cash flow generation in fiscal 2026 enabled it to consistently execute disciplined capital allocation priorities. The company returned more than $1.6 billion to its shareholders, including share repurchases of more than $900 million.
Constellation Brands still forecasts an operating cash flow of $2.4-$2.5 billion for fiscal 2027. It expects free cash flow of $1.6-$1.7 billion. STZ plans to incur capital expenditures of $800 million in fiscal 2027.
Constellation Brands’ FY27 Expectations
Looking forward, management is optimistic about the momentum seen in the reported quarter across its beer and wine & spirits businesses. Enterprise and wine & spirits growth (decline) net sales assumptions for fiscal 2027 exclude $142 million for the March 1, 2025, to June 1, 2025 period. These are no longer part of the year-over-year results following the 2025 Wine Divestitures.
STZ projects enterprise organic net sales growth (decline) of (1)% - 1%, beer net sales growth (decline) of (1)% - 1%, and wine & spirits business organic net sales growth (decline) of (1)% - 1%. Enterprise operating margin on a reported and comparable basis is projected to be 32-33%, with beer operating margin of 37-38% and wine & spirits operating margin of 5-6%.
The company anticipates comparable EPS of $11.20-$11.90 for fiscal 2027 compared with $11.82 earned in fiscal 2026. STZ expects reported fiscal 2027 EPS to be $11.10-$11.80 compared with $9.61 seen in fiscal 2026. Constellation Brands anticipates a reported and comparable tax rate of 20% for fiscal 2027.
How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?
In the past month, investors have witnessed a downward trend in estimates review.
VGM Scores
At this time, Constellation Brands has a subpar Growth Score of D, though it is lagging a bit on the Momentum Score front with an F. However, the stock has a score of C on the value side, putting it in the middle 20% for value investors.
Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of D. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.
Outlook
Estimates have been broadly trending downward for the stock, and the magnitude of these revisions indicates a downward shift. Notably, Constellation Brands has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). We expect an in-line return from the stock in the next few months.
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Constellation Brands Inc (STZ) : Free Stock Analysis Report
This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).
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- Constellation Brands (STZ) Down 7.9% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?
May 8, 2026 · zacks.com
Constellation Brands (STZ) reported earnings 30 days ago. What's next for the stock?
- A Look At Constellation Brands (STZ) Valuation As Shares Trade Below Narrative Fair Value
May 7, 2026
Make better investment decisions with Simply Wall St's easy, visual tools that give you a competitive edge.
Constellation Brands (STZ) is drawing attention after recent share price moves, with the stock showing mixed returns over the past month and past 3 months, while longer term performance has also varied.
See our latest analysis for Constellation Brands.
At a share price of $152.29, Constellation Brands has seen short term share price momentum cool compared with earlier in the year. Its 1 year total shareholder return of 17.58% and multi year total shareholder returns of 28.41% and 27.56% indicate a weaker overall experience for holders.
If this kind of mixed performance has you thinking about diversification, it could be a good time to see what else is moving and scan 19 top founder-led companies
With Constellation Brands trading at $152.29 and sitting on an indicated 49.87% intrinsic discount plus a gap to analyst targets, investors may ask whether this represents a genuine value opportunity or whether the market is already pricing in future growth.
Most Popular Narrative: 14.2% Undervalued
With Constellation Brands last closing at $152.29 against a narrative fair value of $177.55, the current discount hinges on a specific earnings and cash flow path that analysts have mapped out to 2029.
The company plans to generate approximately $9 billion in operating cash flow and $6 billion in free cash flow from fiscal '26 to fiscal '28. This robust cash flow will support investment in growth initiatives, primarily the modular development of their third brewery in Veracruz and additions to existing facilities in Mexico, potentially enhancing revenue.
Read the complete narrative.
Want to know what sits behind that cash flow swing and brewery build out plans, and how profit margins and future P/E assumptions connect to the $177.55 fair value target? The full narrative lays out a tight set of revenue, margin and valuation expectations that you can test against your own views.
Result: Fair Value of $177.55 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, you still need to watch for tariffs lifting costs, especially in Wine and Spirits, as well as any prolonged pullback in Hispanic beer demand that could pressure revenue and margins.
Find out about the key risks to this Constellation Brands narrative.
Next Steps
Given this mix of potential risks and rewards, do you feel the story fully stacks up, or are markets overlooking something crucial? Take a closer look at the 5 key rewards and 1 important warning sign
Story Continues
Looking for more investment ideas?
If you stop with just one stock, you risk missing other opportunities that could fit your goals even better, so broaden your search while momentum is building.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include STZ.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
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- Is It Time To Reassess Constellation Brands (STZ) After Its Multi Year Share Price Slump
May 7, 2026
Track your investments for FREE with Simply Wall St, the portfolio command center trusted by over 7 million individual investors worldwide.
Wondering if Constellation Brands at around US$152.29 is priced for a rebound or still has more room to fall? This article walks through what the current share price might be implying about value. The stock has returned 1.3% over the last 7 days and 7.9% year to date, yet it is still showing a 17.6% decline over 1 year and a 28.4% decline over 3 years. These figures can change how you think about its risk and opportunity profile. Recent coverage has focused on the company as a major beverage player and on how market sentiment can swing when consumer brands go through periods of weaker share price performance. This kind of attention can keep volatility elevated as investors reassess what they are willing to pay for the stock. Constellation Brands currently has a valuation score of 5 out of 6. The rest of this article will break down how that score arises from different valuation methods, then finish with a framework that can help you judge whether those methods fit how you think about value.
Find out why Constellation Brands's -17.6% return over the last year is lagging behind its peers.
Approach 1: Constellation Brands Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model projects a company’s future cash flows and then discounts them back to today using a required rate of return. The result is an estimate of what the entire business could be worth in today’s dollars.
For Constellation Brands, the model used here is a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach based on cash flow projections. The latest twelve month free cash flow is about $1.62b. Analysts supply detailed forecasts for the next several years, and beyond that Simply Wall St extrapolates the figures, with projected free cash flow of $2.30b in 2031 and further estimates out to 2035.
Pulling all of these projected cash flows together and discounting them back to today gives an estimated intrinsic value of about $303.80 per share. Compared with the current share price of around $152.29, the model implies the stock is about 49.9% undervalued on this DCF view.
Result: UNDERVALUED
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Constellation Brands is undervalued by 49.9%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 44 more high quality undervalued stocks.STZ Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2026
Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Constellation Brands.
Approach 2: Constellation Brands Price vs Earnings
For profitable companies like Constellation Brands, the P/E ratio is a common way to think about value because it links what you pay for each share to the earnings that each share generates. Investors usually accept a higher or lower P/E depending on what they expect for future earnings growth and how risky they think those earnings are.
Story Continues
Constellation Brands currently trades on a P/E of 15.55x. That sits below the Beverage industry average P/E of about 17.95x and below the peer group average of 19.48x, which points to the market paying a lower price for each dollar of its earnings compared with many similar companies.
Simply Wall St’s Fair Ratio for Constellation Brands is 19.28x, which is the P/E that might be expected once factors like earnings growth, industry, profit margins, market cap and company specific risks are taken into account. This Fair Ratio can be more informative than a simple industry or peer comparison because it adjusts for those company level characteristics rather than treating all stocks as alike. With the current P/E at 15.55x versus a Fair Ratio of 19.28x, the shares screen as undervalued on this metric.
Result: UNDERVALUEDNYSE:STZ P/E Ratio as at May 2026
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Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Constellation Brands Narrative
Earlier it was mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so Narratives are introduced here as simple stories you create about Constellation Brands that link your view on its future revenue, earnings and margins to a forecast and a Fair Value. You can use tools on Simply Wall St’s Community page that update automatically when new information like earnings or news arrives, and that let you compare your Fair Value with the current share price so you can decide whether the stock looks attractive or expensive based on your own assumptions, whether you lean closer to a more bullish view with a Fair Value around US$218.97 or a more cautious view around US$120.95.
For Constellation Brands however we will make it really easy for you with previews of two leading Constellation Brands Narratives:
You can think of these as bookends around what the stock might be worth, based on different assumptions for revenue, margins and the value investors could place on those earnings in a few years time.
🐂 Constellation Brands Bull Case
Fair value in this bullish narrative: US$177.55 per share.
Implied discount to that fair value at the last close of US$152.29: about 14.2% undervalued, using ((177.55 - 152.29) / 177.55).
Revenue growth assumption used in the model: about 1.30% a year.
Analysts in this camp see the Wine & Spirits reshaping and related cost savings as an important support for margins and earnings through to fiscal 2028. They expect strong cash generation to back ongoing brewery investment in Mexico and share buybacks, with the beer business aiming to keep operating margins near 39% to 40%. The fair value of US$177.55 assumes earnings of about US$1.9b by 2029 and a future P/E of 18.0x, which you can compare with your own view on earnings power and what multiple the stock might trade on.
🐻 Constellation Brands Bear Case
Fair value in this more cautious narrative: US$120.95 per share.
Implied premium to that fair value at the last close of US$152.29: about 25.9% overvalued, using ((152.29 - 120.95) / 120.95).
Revenue growth assumption used in the model: about 0.35% a year.
Bearing in mind this is a more pessimistic view, the bearish analysts behind it flag slowing alcohol consumption among younger drinkers and the rise of alcohol alternatives as a risk to long term volume growth. They also highlight reliance on Mexican import beers, cost pressures and regulatory risk as potential headwinds for margins and earnings stability. The fair value of US$120.95 lines up closer to the lower end of analyst targets around US$131, so if you lean toward this narrative you would be assuming a lower P/E multiple and more muted revenue outlook than the bullish case.
Neither narrative is “right” on its own, but together they give you a clear range of outcomes to stress test against your own expectations for Constellation Brands earnings, cash flows and risk profile.
If you want to go deeper into the numbers, see how other investors are framing these scenarios and how they link back to valuation, it is worth reviewing the full set of community narratives and tools that update as new data comes through, including To see how these results tie into long-term growth, risks, and valuation, check out the full range of community narratives for Constellation Brands on Simply Wall St. Add the company to your watchlist or portfolio so you'll be alerted when the story evolves.
Do you think there's more to the story for Constellation Brands? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!NYSE:STZ 1-Year Stock Price Chart
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include STZ.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
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- Constellation Brands Announces Delivery of Notice of Redemption for 3.700% Senior Notes due 2026
May 6, 2026
Constellation Brands, Inc.
ROCHESTER, N.Y., May 06, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Constellation Brands (NYSE: STZ), a leading beverage alcohol company, announced today that it has given notice for full redemption prior to maturity of all of its outstanding 3.700% Senior Notes due 2026 (CUSIP Number: 21036PAQ1) to be effected on May 18, 2026. As of May 6, 2026, there were $600.0 million in aggregate principal amount of the notes outstanding.
The redemption price for the notes, payable in cash, will be calculated pursuant to the formula set forth in the supplemental indenture relating to the notes.
This press release shall not constitute a notice of redemption of the notes. Information concerning the terms and conditions of the redemption of the notes is described in the notice distributed to holders of the notes by the trustee under the indenture and the applicable supplemental indenture governing the notes.
ABOUT CONSTELLATION BRANDS
Constellation Brands is an international producer and marketer of beer, wine, and spirits with operations in the U.S., Mexico, New Zealand, and Italy. Constellation’s brand portfolio includes Modelo Especial, Corona Extra, Modelo Cheladas, Pacifico, Victoria, The Prisoner Wine Company, Robert Mondavi Winery, Kim Crawford, Schrader Cellars, Lingua Franca, Mi CAMPO Tequila, and High West Whiskey.
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
This news release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the “safe harbor” provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Statements which are not historical facts and relate to future plans, events, or performance, including statements regarding the redemption date and price, are forward-looking statements that are based upon management’s current expectations and are subject to risks and uncertainties. The forward-looking statements should not be construed in any manner as a guarantee that such events or results will in fact occur or will occur on the timetable contemplated hereby. All forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this news release and Constellation undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. Detailed information regarding risk factors with respect to the company and the offering are included in the company’s filings with the SEC, including the prospectus and prospectus supplement for the offering.
MEDIA CONTACTS INVESTOR RELATIONS CONTACTS Maggie Bowman 213-500-2401 / maggie.bowman@cbrands.com Blair Veenema 585-284-4433 / blair.veenema@cbrands.com
Snehal Shah 847-385-4940 / snehal.shah@cbrands.com
David Paccapaniccia 585-282-7227 / david.paccapaniccia@cbrands.com
PDF available: http://ml.globenewswire.com/Resource/Download/eebf28ef-7e1d-4a8a-9528-8eb4d653404d
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- Constellation Brands Announces Delivery of Notice of Redemption for 3.700% Senior Notes due 2026
May 6, 2026 · globenewswire.com
ROCHESTER, N.Y., May 06, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Constellation Brands (NYSE: STZ), a leading beverage alcohol company, announced today that it has given notice for full redemption prior to maturity of all of its outstanding 3.700% Senior Notes due 2026 (CUSIP Number: 21036PAQ1) to be effected on May 18, 2026.
- CONSTELLATION BRANDS ANNOUNCES DELIVERY OF NOTICE OF REDEMPTION FOR 3.700% SENIOR NOTES DUE 2026
May 6, 2026
ROCHESTER, N.Y., MAY 06, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- CONSTELLATION BRANDS (NYSE: STZ), A LEADING BEVERAGE ALCOHOL COMPANY, ANNOUNCED TODAY THAT IT HAS GIVEN NOTICE FOR FULL REDEMPTION PRIOR TO MATURITY OF ALL OF ITS OUTSTANDING 3.700% SENIOR NOTES DUE 2026 (CUSIP NUMBER: 21036PAQ1) TO BE EFFECTED ON MAY 18, 2026.
